nothing can suffice to express the deep gratitude I have for these men. let’s party like it’s 1776.

that one time this little fella and I kept it real.
  • Camera: Canon PowerShot SD630
  • Aperture: f/2.8
  • Exposure: 1/320th
  • Focal Length: 5mm

that one time this little fella and I kept it real.

Kyle’s Analysis: How can your team advance to the Round of 16?

GROUP A
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Brazil (BRA)
The most straightforward path for Brazil to progress to the Round of 16 is to defeat or tie with Cameroon. If Cameroon beats Brazil, then Brazil’s quest for advancement becomes tricky. With a Cameroon victory, Brazil is still guaranteed to move up if Mexico sweeps Croatia. If the Mexicans and the Croatians tie, then Brazil will enter a tie-breaker with Croatia for 2nd place in the group. Brazil (+2) will need a greater goal differential than Croatia (+2), but if the goal differential is the same, then Brazil (3) will need to have a higher total of goals scored than Croatia (5). If that statistic is the same, then Brazil will win the tie, since it defeated Croatia 3-1. The other way that Brazil will enter a tie-breaker, is if Mexico loses to Croatia. In this case, Brazil will tie with Mexico, and must win the tie-breaker in order to continue on. Brazil secures 1st place if it trounces Cameroon while Croatia simultaneously surpasses or ties Mexico. The other pathway for Brazil to win the group is by entering a tie-breaker with Mexico for the top spot, which would happen if Brazil shuts out Cameroon while Mexico knocks off Croatia, or if both matches result in a tie.

Mexico (MEX)
Mexico secures advancement to the Round of 16 unless one of three situations occur: it loses to Croatia while Brazil defeats Cameroon, it is overpowered by Croatia and Brazil and Cameroon tie, or it loses a tie-breaker with Brazil that would result from Cameroon and Croatia both winning against Brazil and Mexico, respectively. If the tie-breaker option arises, Mexico (+1) must have a greater goal differential than Brazil (+2) to win the tie. However, if their records are the same, then Mexico (1) needs to gain more goals to have a higher total than Brazil (3). If those statistics are the same, then the tie-breaker process is pursued further until a winner is named. Mexico clinches 1st place in the group by triumphing over Croatia with Cameroon defeating or tying with Brazil. The Mexicans will also have a reserved spot in the top place if they tie with Croatia maintaining that Cameroon beats Brazil. The other options for Mexico to be the group champion is by entering one of two tie-breaker situations with Brazil, resulting from a Brazil and Mexico victory against Cameroon and Croatia, respectively, or if both matches result in a tie.

Croatia (CRO)
Four opportunities exist to elevate Croatia to the Round of 16. Three of the opportunities require Croatia to win against Mexico, despite the outcome of Brazil’s match against Cameroon. The fourth option is for Croatia to tie with Mexico, but have Cameroon win against Brazil. This situation would place Croatia into a tie-breaker with Brazil, in which Croatia (+2) would need a greater goal differential than Brazil (+2). If the goal differential is the same, then Croatia (5) needs to maintain a higher total of goals scored than Brazil (3). If their totals are the same, then Croatia will lose the tie-breaker to Brazil, since Brazil defeated Croatia 3-1. Croatia will win the group with a victory against Mexico, provided that Cameroon wins or ties with Brazil.

Cameroon (CMR)
It is impossible for Cameroon to advance to the Round of 16. Croatia squashed any hope for Cameroon to place in the the second round of the Group Stage.



GROUP B
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The Netherlands (NED)
The Netherlands will advance to the Round of 16 irregardless of the outcome of their match against Chile, or the match between Spain and Australia. The Netherlands are guaranteed the top slot in the group if they defeat Chile; however, if Chile and the Netherlands tie, they will enter a tie-breaker for 1st place in the group. The Netherlands (+5) will need to have a greater goal differential than Chile (+4). If the goal differential is the same between the two teams, then The Netherlands (8) will need to have a larger number of goals scored than Chile (5). If those statistics are the same, then the process to break the tie will proceed until a winner is chosen.

Chile (CHI)
Chile will advance to the Round of 16 irregardless of the outcome of their match against the Netherlands, or the match between Spain and Australia. Chile will be the group champion if they defeat the Netherlands, or win a tie-breaker with the Dutch team that would result from a tie in the match. Chile (+4) will need to have a higher goal differential than the Netherlands (+5). If both teams have the same goal differential, then Chile (5) will need to end up with more goals scored than the Netherlands (8). If the number of goals scored are the same as well, then the process to break the tie will proceed until one of the teams qualifies to win the tie and therefore the group.

Spain (ESP)
Spain cannot advance to the Round of 16. Chile upset Spain’s progress in the second round of the Group stage.

Australia (AUS)
Australia is eliminated and cannot advance to the Round of 16. It was shut out by the Netherlands in the second round of the Group Stage.



Group C
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Columbia (COL)
Columbia will advance to the Round of 16 automatically. The South American country wins the group unless it loses to Japan, the Ivory Coast beats Greece, and the Ivory Coast has a greater goal differential (0) than Columbia (+4). If these three things happen, Columbia will advance as the runner-up, and the Ivory Coast will place in the top spot. If the Ivory Coast defeats Greece in a Japan-victory situation and has the same goal differential as Columbia, Columbia (5) will need to have more goals scored than the Ivory Coast (3) to win the tie-breaker for 1st place. If they have scored the same number of goals, Columbia will win the group, because it beat the Ivory Coast 2-1.

Ivory Coast (CIV)
The Ivory Coast has two options for guaranteed advancement. Either they defeat Greece, or tie with Greece under the condition that Columbia wins or at least ties with Japan. If Japan beats Columbia while the Ivory Coast and Greece tie, Japan and the Ivory coast must enter a tie-breaker. The Ivory Coast (0) will need a greater goal differential than Japan (-1), but if the goal differential is the same, then the Ivory Coast (3) needs a higher number of total goals scored over Japan (1). If Japan has the same number of total goals scored, the Ivory Coast will win the tie-breaker because they defeated Japan 2-1. In order for the Ivory Coast to win the group, three things need to happen: they must win against Greece, Columbia must lose to Japan, and they have to win the resulting tie-breaker with Columbia via the same tie-breaker decision process. However, if the records are the same between the Ivory Coast and Columbia, Columbia will remain in the 1st place position since the Ivory Coast lost their match against Columbia.

Japan (JPN)
It is required that Japan defeat Columbia in order to advance, while maintaining that Greece ties or beats the Ivory Coast. If Japan and Greece both win, they will go head-to-head in a tie-breaker for the runner-up position. If Japan wins, but Greece and the Ivory Coast come to a stalemate, then Japan will face off in a tie-breaker with the Ivory Coast. If these teams have the same goal differential and the same number of goals scored, the Ivory Coast will win the tie-breaker since they defeated Japan 2-1. It is impossible for Japan to win the group.

Greece (GRE)
Greece will advance if it beats the Ivory Coast under the reservation that Columbia defeats or ties with Japan. If Japan and Greece both win, they will enter a tie-breaker. Greece (-3) will need a greater goal differential than Japan (-1). If the goal differential is the same, then Greece (0) will need to have scored more goals than Japan (1). If those statistics are the same, then the tie-breaking process continues until the tie is broken. It is impossible for Greece to win the group.



Group D
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Costa Rica (CRC)
Costa Rica will advance to the Round of 16 automatically. The only way Costa Rica will fall out of 1st place is if it loses to England, and Uruguay and Italy do not tie. That is to say, if Costa Rica is defeated by England and Italy or Uruguay win, a tie-breaker will ensue for the top slot of the group. Costa Rica (+3) will need to have a greater goal differential than the winner of the Italy (0)/Uruguay (-1) match. In either case of Italy or Uruguay challenging Costa Rica for 1st place, if both teams have the same goal differential, then number of total goals scored will be compared between Costa Rica (4) and either Italy (2) or Uruguay (3). If those are the same, Costa Rica will win the group automatically, because the Costa Rican team defeated Uruguay 3-1 and Italy 1-0 in the first two rounds of the Group Stage.

Italy (ITA)
Italy will advance if it wins against Uruguay, despite the outcome of the Costa Rica/England match. A tie between Italy and Uruguay will automatically place both teams in a tie-breaker for the runner-up position, in which Italy (0) will need to secure a tie-breaker victory against Uruguay (-1) by having a greater goal differential. If the goal differential is the same, then Italy (2) will need to have scored more goals than Uruguay (3). In order for Italy to win the group, Italy needs to beat Uruguay, while Costa Rica loses to England. Italy will then enter a tie breaker with Costa Rica, which it must win in order to take 1st place.

Uruguay (URU)
Uruguay will advance if it wins against Italy, despite the outcome of the Costa Rica/England match. A tie between Italy and Uruguay will automatically place both teams in a tie-breaker for the runner-up position, in which Uruguay (-1) will need to secure a tie-breaker victory against Italy (0) by having a greater goal differential. If the goal differential is the same, then Uruguay (3) will need to have scored more goals than Italy (2). In order for Uruguay to win the group, Uruguay needs to beat Italy, while Costa Rica loses to England. Uruguay will then enter a tie breaker with Costa Rica, which it must win in order to take 1st place.

England (ENG)
England has no chance to advance. It was eliminated by Uruguay in the second round of the Group Stage.



Group E
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France (FRA)
Only one situation would prevent France from advancing automatically to the Round of 16: Ecuador defeats France, Honduras loses to Switzerland, and France loses the resulting three-way tie-breaker with Ecuador and Switzerland. In order for France to avoid losing that tie-breaker, Switzerland (-2) and Ecuador (0) must both have lesser goal differentials than France (+6). If those are all the same, then number of scored goals are compared between the Swiss (4), the Ecuadorian (3), and the French (8) teams. France will win the group, unless it loses to Ecuador. If France does not beat Ecuador, then three different situations arise. The first situation would be the three-way tie resulting from a Swiss victory against Honduras. The other two situations are a tie-breaker between France and Ecuador for the top slot resulting from a tie between Switzerland and Honduras or a Honduras victory over Switzerland. France would need a greater goal differential than Ecuador, unless those are the same. France would then need to have scored more goals than Ecuador.

Ecuador (ECU)
Ecuador has a few different options for advancing to the Round of 16. To guarantee its spot, Ecuador will need to defeat France, provided that Honduras defeats or ties with Switzerland. Ecuador could also secure its place in the Round of 16 by tying with France while Switzerland concedes victory to Honduras. Other options for advancement include entering the same three-way tie that France would enter as discussed in the France section. This would occur if Ecuador and Switzerland both won their matches against France and Honduras, respectively. Ecuador actually has the option to enter another three-way tie with Switzerland and Honduras in the event that the team loses to France and Honduras beats Switzerland. Just as in the other three-way tie, Ecuador (0) would need a higher goal differential than Switzerland (-2) and Honduras (-4). If the goal differentials are the same, then Ecuador (3) needs to have the highest number of goals scored in comparison to Switzerland (4) and Honduras (1). The last option that Ecuador has to advance is to win a tie-breaker with Switzerland that would result from a tie in both matches. Ecuador’s only hope of winning the group is to defeat France and win either the three-way tie between France, Switzerland, and Ecuador that results from Switzerland shutting out Honduras, or emerge victorious from a tie-breaker with France that would result from Honduras beating or tying with Switzerland.

Switzerland (SUI)
Switzerland is looking at some interesting options as well for advancement into the Round of 16. If it wants a secure spot, it must defeat Honduras provided that France defeats or at least ties with Ecuador. The Swiss would also see no resistance in advancing if it tied with Honduras and France defeated Ecuador. If Switzerland beats Honduras and Ecuador beats France, it will enter a three-way tie with France and Ecuador. If there is a tie in both matches, Switzerland will enter a tie-breaker with Ecuador for 2nd place. If Switzerland loses to Honduras, but France defeats Ecuador, Switzerland will enter another three-way tie, but with Honduras and Ecuador. Switzerland’s only chance to win the group is to win the three-way tie with France and Ecuador that occurs from a Swiss and Ecuadorian win.

Honduras (HON)
Honduras has one shot to advance to the Round of 16: defeat Switzerland and pray that France defeats Ecuador. This result will push Honduras into a three-way tie with Switzerland and Ecuador to determine who will take 2nd place in the group. There is no way for Honduras to obtain 1st place.



Group F
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Argentina (ARG)
It’s quite simple for Argentina: advancement to the Round of 16 is guaranteed. Argentina will win the group unless it loses to Nigeria.

Nigeria (NGA)
In theory, Nigeria will advance to the Round of 16. However, if Nigeria is defeated by Argentina and Iran simultaneously wins over Bosnia and Herzegovina, then Nigeria is in danger of being eliminated. In this situation, Nigeria will enter a tie-breaker with Iran, in which Nigeria (+1) will need a greater goal differential then Iran (-1). If the goal differentials are the same, then Nigeria (1) will need to have scored more goals than Iran (0). If those are the same, then the tie-breaking process resumes until a team is qualified to win the tie-breaker.

Iran (IRN)
Iran (-1) has one shot to advance to the Round of 16: defeat Bosnia and Herzegovina, make sure that Argentina wins against Nigeria, and have a greater goal differential than Nigeria (+1). If the goal differential is the same, Iran (0) needs to score more goals than Nigeria (1), provided that Nigeria is defeated by Argentina, and Bosnia and Herzegovina is shut out.

Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH)
Bosnia and Herzegovina have been eliminated and cannot advance to the Round of 16. They were edged out by Nigeria in the second round of the Group Stage.



Group G
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Germany (GER)
Germany is only in danger of not advancing if it loses to the United States without a tie between Ghana and Portugal. That is, if the United States beats Germany and either Ghana defeats Portugal or Portugal cleans out Ghana, Germany could possibly be kept from advancing to the Round of 16. If it does lose, it will need to win a tie-breaker with the winner of the Ghana/Portugal match. Germany (+4) would need to have a higher goal differential than Ghana (-1) or Portugal (-4). If Germany defeats the United States, it will win the group. If it ties with the United States, Germany will go head-to-head with the Americans in a tie-breaker for the top spot in the group.

United States of America (USA)
The United States faces the same situation as Germany, but in reverse. The United States is guaranteed to advance if it defeats or ties with Germany, or if it loses to Germany, but Ghana and Portugal tie. If the United States loses to Germany, it will face off with the winner of the Ghana/Portugal match in a tie-breaker for the 2nd place spot in the group. The United States will be in 1st place if it defeats Germany, or if it wins in a tie-breaker with Germany resulting from a tie between the two countries in the match. Of course, the United States (+1) would need a higher goal differential than Germany (+4). If the goal differential is the same, then the United States (4) will need to have scored more goals than Germany (6).

Ghana (GHA)
Ghana will only advance if it defeats Portugal and is victorious in the resulting tie-breaker against the winner of the United States/Germany match. Ghana (-1) would need a higher goal differential, or subsequently, Ghana (3) would need a greater number of goals scored. If the United States and Germany tie, Ghana will not advance even if it defeats Portugal. Ghana cannot win the group.

Portugal (POR)
Portugal is in the same position as Ghana. It needs to defeat Ghana and hope that the United States and Germany do not tie in order to make it to the tie-breaker with the winner of the United States/Germany match. Portugal has scored a total of 2 goals and cannot win the group.



Group H
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Belgium (BEL)
Belgium will advance automatically to the Round of 16. Belgium will hold the top spot in Group H unless it loses a tie-breaker with Algeria that would result from Belgium losing to the Korea Republic and Algeria ousting Russia. If this situation occurred, Belgium (+2) would need a greater goal differential than Algeria (+1) in order to maintain its position in 1st place. If the goal differentials were the same, Belgium (3) would need to have scored more goals than Algeria (5). If the number of goals are the same, then Belgium will automatically win the tie-breaker because it defeated Algeria 2-1.

Algeria (ALG)
Algeria can advance to the Round of 16 if it defeats or ties with Russia. However, it should be noted that if Algeria and Russia tie and the Korea Republic defeats Belgium, Algeria will enter a tie-breaker with the Korea Republic. Algeria (+1) will need a greater goal differential than the Korea Republic (-2). If the goal differential is the same, then Algeria (5) will need a greater number of goals than the Korea Republic (3). If the number of goals are the same, than Algeria will win the tie-breaker automatically because it defeated the Korea Republic 4-2. The only shot Algeria has to win the group is to defeat Russia, have the Korea Republic defeat Belgium, and enter a tie-breaker with Belgium for the top seat in the group.

Russia (RUS)
Russia needs to defeat Algeria in order to advance to the Round of 16. Russia’s spot will be secure if it does so, and Belgium defeats or ties with the Korea Republic. If the Korea Republic wins their match against Belgium and Russia defeats Algeria, then Russia’s advancement is contested by a tie-breaker between itself and the Koreans. Russia (-1) will need a greater goal differential than the Korea Republic (-2). If the goal differential is the same, then Russia (1) will need to have scored more goals than the Korea Republic (3). If those statistics are the same, then the tie-breaking process continues until a team qualifies to win the tie-breaker. Russia cannot win the group.

Korea Republic (KOR)
In order for the Korea Republic to advance, it must defeat Belgium and make sure that Russia defeats or ties with Algeria. Either of those situations will put the Korea Republic in a tie-breaker with either Algeria or Russia, as discussed above. The Korea Republic cannot win the group.

-k

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